Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies project Wellington’s daily minimum temperature on August 21 to reach 8°C, consistent with seasonal norms for late winter in the region. Northerly airflow and partly cloudy skies are limiting overnight radiative cooling while keeping conditions near the long-term average low of approximately 8–9°C. Recent NIWA outlooks note near-average temperatures overall for August, with no strong cold-air advection expected today. Trader consensus at 98% for 8°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational data. A stronger southerly shift or clearer nocturnal skies could allow brief drops toward 7°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8月21日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8°C 100.0%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$2,910 交易量
$2,910 交易量
2026-08-21
2°C or below
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$2,910 交易量
$2,910 交易量
2026-08-21
2°C or below
$799 交易量
No
3°C
$301 交易量
No
4°C
$239 交易量
No
5°C
$239 交易量
No
6°C
$254 交易量
No
7°C
$316 交易量
No
8°C
$330 交易量
Yes
9°C
$241 交易量
No
10°C
$15 交易量
No
11°C
$80 交易量
No
12°C or higher
$95 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies project Wellington’s daily minimum temperature on August 21 to reach 8°C, consistent with seasonal norms for late winter in the region. Northerly airflow and partly cloudy skies are limiting overnight radiative cooling while keeping conditions near the long-term average low of approximately 8–9°C. Recent NIWA outlooks note near-average temperatures overall for August, with no strong cold-air advection expected today. Trader consensus at 98% for 8°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational data. A stronger southerly shift or clearer nocturnal skies could allow brief drops toward 7°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$2,910結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies project Wellington’s daily minimum temperature on August 21 to reach 8°C, consistent with seasonal norms for late winter in the region. Northerly airflow and partly cloudy skies are limiting overnight radiative cooling while keeping conditions near the long-term average low of approximately 8–9°C. Recent NIWA outlooks note near-average temperatures overall for August, with no strong cold-air advection expected today. Trader consensus at 98% for 8°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational data. A stronger southerly shift or clearer nocturnal skies could allow brief drops toward 7°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,910結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies project Wellington’s daily minimum temperature on August 21 to reach 8°C, consistent with seasonal norms for late winter in the region. Northerly airflow and partly cloudy skies are limiting overnight radiative cooling while keeping conditions near the long-term average low of approximately 8–9°C. Recent NIWA outlooks note near-average temperatures overall for August, with no strong cold-air advection expected today. Trader consensus at 98% for 8°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational data. A stronger southerly shift or clearer nocturnal skies could allow brief drops toward 7°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions