Clear skies and light northeasterly winds across Zhengzhou on September 4 are supporting efficient overnight radiative cooling under dry conditions typical of early autumn in the North China Plain. Official and model guidance from multiple sources consistently points to a daily minimum near 19°C, with evening readings already in the low 20s°C and limited moisture to moderate temperature drops. This aligns with climatological norms for the region, where September lows average around 18–20°C absent frontal systems or significant cloud cover. Trader positioning heavily favors the 19°C outcome, reflecting real-time synthesis of surface observations and short-range forecasts, while lower bins capture residual uncertainty from potential microscale variations or measurement timing. No major atmospheric shifts are expected before resolution based on official daily records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日鄭州最低氣溫?
19°C 99%
17°C 20%
18°C 20%
15°C或以下 1%
$1,159 交易量
$1,159 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
19°C 99%
17°C 20%
18°C 20%
15°C或以下 1%
$1,159 交易量
$1,159 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Clear skies and light northeasterly winds across Zhengzhou on September 4 are supporting efficient overnight radiative cooling under dry conditions typical of early autumn in the North China Plain. Official and model guidance from multiple sources consistently points to a daily minimum near 19°C, with evening readings already in the low 20s°C and limited moisture to moderate temperature drops. This aligns with climatological norms for the region, where September lows average around 18–20°C absent frontal systems or significant cloud cover. Trader positioning heavily favors the 19°C outcome, reflecting real-time synthesis of surface observations and short-range forecasts, while lower bins capture residual uncertainty from potential microscale variations or measurement timing. No major atmospheric shifts are expected before resolution based on official daily records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions