Maryland’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index exceeding D+17 and voter registration favoring Democrats by more than two-to-one. The June 2026 primary produced Democratic nominee Adrian Boafo, who secured roughly 33 percent in a crowded field after receiving endorsements and funding support from retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore. Republican Chris Chaffee won his party’s nomination but faces the same structural headwinds that limited GOP performance to around 30 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic probability incorporates these fundamentals along with the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts through late August. A late national Republican surge, unexpected primary fallout, or court-ordered map changes represent the narrow pathways that could alter general-election dynamics before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,978 交易量
$17,978 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
4%
$17,978 交易量
$17,978 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$8,736 交易量
95%
共和黨
$9,242 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index exceeding D+17 and voter registration favoring Democrats by more than two-to-one. The June 2026 primary produced Democratic nominee Adrian Boafo, who secured roughly 33 percent in a crowded field after receiving endorsements and funding support from retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore. Republican Chris Chaffee won his party’s nomination but faces the same structural headwinds that limited GOP performance to around 30 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic probability incorporates these fundamentals along with the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts through late August. A late national Republican surge, unexpected primary fallout, or court-ordered map changes represent the narrow pathways that could alter general-election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$17,978結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index exceeding D+17 and voter registration favoring Democrats by more than two-to-one. The June 2026 primary produced Democratic nominee Adrian Boafo, who secured roughly 33 percent in a crowded field after receiving endorsements and funding support from retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore. Republican Chris Chaffee won his party’s nomination but faces the same structural headwinds that limited GOP performance to around 30 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic probability incorporates these fundamentals along with the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts through late August. A late national Republican surge, unexpected primary fallout, or court-ordered map changes represent the narrow pathways that could alter general-election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,978結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index exceeding D+17 and voter registration favoring Democrats by more than two-to-one. The June 2026 primary produced Democratic nominee Adrian Boafo, who secured roughly 33 percent in a crowded field after receiving endorsements and funding support from retiring Representative Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore. Republican Chris Chaffee won his party’s nomination but faces the same structural headwinds that limited GOP performance to around 30 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Democratic probability incorporates these fundamentals along with the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts through late August. A late national Republican surge, unexpected primary fallout, or court-ordered map changes represent the narrow pathways that could alter general-election dynamics before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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