Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican John Nagel won his party's primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing a Democratic win near 96% tracks this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican fundraising or polling. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented districtwide reversal or unforeseen disruption to the Democratic nominee's campaign.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,403 交易量
$48,403 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$48,403 交易量
$48,403 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$18,221 交易量
96%
Republican Party
$30,182 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican John Nagel won his party's primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing a Democratic win near 96% tracks this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican fundraising or polling. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented districtwide reversal or unforeseen disruption to the Democratic nominee's campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$48,403結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican John Nagel won his party's primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing a Democratic win near 96% tracks this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican fundraising or polling. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented districtwide reversal or unforeseen disruption to the Democratic nominee's campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,403結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 victory. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80% of the vote against limited challengers, while Republican John Nagel won his party's primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing a Democratic win near 96% tracks this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican fundraising or polling. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented districtwide reversal or unforeseen disruption to the Democratic nominee's campaign.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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