Skip to main content
icon for 墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者
政治·墨西哥

墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者

icon for 墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者
政治·墨西哥

墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者

莫雷納黨 91.7%

全國行動黨（PAN） 7.4%

制度革命黨（PRI） 1.1%

公民運動（MC） <1%

Polymarket

$100,793 交易量

莫雷納黨 91.7%

全國行動黨（PAN） 7.4%

制度革命黨（PRI） 1.1%

公民運動（MC） <1%

Polymarket

$100,793 交易量

icon for 莫雷納黨

莫雷納黨

$55,422 交易量

92%

icon for 全國行動黨（PAN）

全國行動黨（PAN）

$16,890 交易量

7%

icon for 制度革命黨（PRI）

制度革命黨（PRI）

$7,799 交易量

1%

icon for 公民運動（MC）

公民運動（MC）

$8,413 交易量

<1%

icon for 工黨（PT）

工黨（PT）

$6,128 交易量

<1%

icon for 墨西哥生態綠黨（PVEM）

墨西哥生態綠黨（PVEM）

$6,141 交易量

<1%

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena's commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Chamber of Deputies election reflects consistent polling advantages of 20–35 points over the next largest parties, building on its 2024 coalition majority and strong performance in recent state contests. With President Claudia Sheinbaum in office, the party benefits from incumbency, territorial organization, and voter preference in national surveys through mid-2026, while opposition parties remain divided and trail individually. Fragmented competition among PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano has limited any unified challenge, and coalition scenarios still leave the Morena-PVEM-PT bloc ahead. Late shifts could occur if economic conditions deteriorate sharply, turnout patterns favor opponents, or a broad opposition alliance consolidates support before June 2027, though current evidence points to structural barriers for such reversals.

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$100,793
結束日期
2027-06-06
市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena's commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Chamber of Deputies election reflects consistent polling advantages of 20–35 points over the next largest parties, building on its 2024 coalition majority and strong performance in recent state contests. With President Claudia Sheinbaum in office, the party benefits from incumbency, territorial organization, and voter preference in national surveys through mid-2026, while opposition parties remain divided and trail individually. Fragmented competition among PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano has limited any unified challenge, and coalition scenarios still leave the Morena-PVEM-PT bloc ahead. Late shifts could occur if economic conditions deteriorate sharply, turnout patterns favor opponents, or a broad opposition alliance consolidates support before June 2027, though current evidence points to structural barriers for such reversals.

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$100,793
結束日期
2027-06-06
市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

相關

icon for Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

60%
icon for Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?

Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?

52%
icon for Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) 會在2026年拉脫維亞議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？

Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) 會在2026年拉脫維亞議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？

43%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "莫雷納黨" at 92%, followed by "全國行動黨（PAN）" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者" has generated $100.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者" is "莫雷納黨" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "全國行動黨（PAN）" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "墨西哥立法選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.