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icon for NH-01民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

NH-01民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for NH-01民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

NH-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Stefany Shaheen 81%

Maura Sullivan 18%

希斯·霍華德 2.4%

Carleigh Beriont <1%

Polymarket

$24,203 交易量

Stefany Shaheen 81%

Maura Sullivan 18%

希斯·霍華德 2.4%

Carleigh Beriont <1%

Polymarket

$24,203 交易量

icon for Stefany Shaheen

Stefany Shaheen

$13,578 交易量

81%

icon for Maura Sullivan

Maura Sullivan

$6,090 交易量

18%

icon for 希斯·霍華德

希斯·霍華德

$1,812 交易量

2%

icon for Carleigh Beriont

Carleigh Beriont

$2,723 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stefany Shaheen leads the NH-01 Democratic primary with strong trader consensus due to her established local profile as a former Portsmouth city councilor and police commission chair, combined with family name recognition and recent endorsements from groups like the American Federation of Teachers. The September 8, 2026, primary remains weeks away, but polls show her maintaining a clear edge in a crowded field. Maura Sullivan, a Marine veteran, former Obama administration official, and 2018 candidate, trails while holding the fundraising lead and active campaign presence, supporting her second-place position. Heath Howard and Carleigh Beriont register minimal support amid limited polling visibility and narrower voter bases. No major late developments have shifted these dynamics in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,203
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stefany Shaheen leads the NH-01 Democratic primary with strong trader consensus due to her established local profile as a former Portsmouth city councilor and police commission chair, combined with family name recognition and recent endorsements from groups like the American Federation of Teachers. The September 8, 2026, primary remains weeks away, but polls show her maintaining a clear edge in a crowded field. Maura Sullivan, a Marine veteran, former Obama administration official, and 2018 candidate, trails while holding the fundraising lead and active campaign presence, supporting her second-place position. Heath Howard and Carleigh Beriont register minimal support amid limited polling visibility and narrower voter bases. No major late developments have shifted these dynamics in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,203
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stefany Shaheen" at 81%, followed by "Maura Sullivan" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NH-01民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $24.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NH-01民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Stefany Shaheen" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maura Sullivan" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-01民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.