Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties and secured re-election in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in the prior presidential contest, reflecting a modest Republican tilt in South Jersey voter registration and turnout patterns. Van Drew advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary, while Mullock prevailed in a four-candidate Democratic contest, limiting early general-election momentum for challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 82 percent aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the three-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national midterm dynamics or local campaign developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,196 交易量
$24,196 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
82%
民主黨
14%
$24,196 交易量
$24,196 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$12,339 交易量
82%
民主黨
$11,858 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties and secured re-election in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in the prior presidential contest, reflecting a modest Republican tilt in South Jersey voter registration and turnout patterns. Van Drew advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary, while Mullock prevailed in a four-candidate Democratic contest, limiting early general-election momentum for challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 82 percent aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the three-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national midterm dynamics or local campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$24,196結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties and secured re-election in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in the prior presidential contest, reflecting a modest Republican tilt in South Jersey voter registration and turnout patterns. Van Drew advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary, while Mullock prevailed in a four-candidate Democratic contest, limiting early general-election momentum for challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 82 percent aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the three-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national midterm dynamics or local campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,196結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties and secured re-election in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote, faces Democratic nominee Zack Mullock in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in the prior presidential contest, reflecting a modest Republican tilt in South Jersey voter registration and turnout patterns. Van Drew advanced unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary, while Mullock prevailed in a four-candidate Democratic contest, limiting early general-election momentum for challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Republican outcome near 82 percent aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the three-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national midterm dynamics or local campaign developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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