Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties, holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on its South Jersey voter base, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and Van Drew’s established incumbency advantages. He ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary, while Democrat Zack Mullock emerged from a crowded field as the nominee. Limited polling shows Van Drew ahead by double digits, and the district’s registration edge plus historical turnout patterns favor the Republican nominee. With no major late-breaking developments or competitive challengers surfacing since the primaries, trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome an 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s structural lean and the absence of factors that typically shift such races closer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,488 交易量
$24,488 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
82%
民主黨
14%
$24,488 交易量
$24,488 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$12,510 交易量
82%
民主黨
$11,978 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties, holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on its South Jersey voter base, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and Van Drew’s established incumbency advantages. He ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary, while Democrat Zack Mullock emerged from a crowded field as the nominee. Limited polling shows Van Drew ahead by double digits, and the district’s registration edge plus historical turnout patterns favor the Republican nominee. With no major late-breaking developments or competitive challengers surfacing since the primaries, trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome an 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s structural lean and the absence of factors that typically shift such races closer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$24,488結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties, holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on its South Jersey voter base, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and Van Drew’s established incumbency advantages. He ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary, while Democrat Zack Mullock emerged from a crowded field as the nominee. Limited polling shows Van Drew ahead by double digits, and the district’s registration edge plus historical turnout patterns favor the Republican nominee. With no major late-breaking developments or competitive challengers surfacing since the primaries, trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome an 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s structural lean and the absence of factors that typically shift such races closer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,488結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat who switched parties, holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on its South Jersey voter base, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and Van Drew’s established incumbency advantages. He ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary, while Democrat Zack Mullock emerged from a crowded field as the nominee. Limited polling shows Van Drew ahead by double digits, and the district’s registration edge plus historical turnout patterns favor the Republican nominee. With no major late-breaking developments or competitive challengers surfacing since the primaries, trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome an 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s structural lean and the absence of factors that typically shift such races closer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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