Skip to main content
icon for 塔拉哈西市長選舉贏家

塔拉哈西市長選舉贏家

icon for 塔拉哈西市長選舉贏家

塔拉哈西市長選舉贏家

Loranne Ausley 56%

傑瑞米·馬特洛 38.5%

達里爾·帕克斯 7.4%

邁克爾·福斯特 <1%

Polymarket

$132,805 交易量

Loranne Ausley 56%

傑瑞米·馬特洛 38.5%

達里爾·帕克斯 7.4%

邁克爾·福斯特 <1%

Polymarket

$132,805 交易量

icon for Loranne Ausley

Loranne Ausley

$85,761 交易量

56%

icon for 傑瑞米·馬特洛

傑瑞米·馬特洛

$11,071 交易量

39%

icon for 達里爾·帕克斯

達里爾·帕克斯

$9,542 交易量

7%

icon for 邁克爾·福斯特

邁克爾·福斯特

$5,128 交易量

<1%

icon for Al Lawson

Al Lawson

$21,302 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.Recent polling from mid-July shows Loranne Ausley leading the nonpartisan primary field at 29% with Jeremy Matlow close behind at 24%, followed by Daryl Parks and Michael Foust, amid 31% undecided voters. This positioning, combined with Ausley’s prior service in the state senate and endorsements from labor groups, has lifted her market share to 56% while Matlow sits at 38.5% on the strength of his city commission record. Parks trails at 7.3% despite name recognition from prior runs. The August 18 primary requires a majority to win outright or advances the top two to the November general; the large undecided bloc and vote-splitting among Democratic contenders have kept the top-two contest tight, with any late shifts in turnout or endorsements likely to widen the gap before primary night.

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
交易量
$132,805
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.Recent polling from mid-July shows Loranne Ausley leading the nonpartisan primary field at 29% with Jeremy Matlow close behind at 24%, followed by Daryl Parks and Michael Foust, amid 31% undecided voters. This positioning, combined with Ausley’s prior service in the state senate and endorsements from labor groups, has lifted her market share to 56% while Matlow sits at 38.5% on the strength of his city commission record. Parks trails at 7.3% despite name recognition from prior runs. The August 18 primary requires a majority to win outright or advances the top two to the November general; the large undecided bloc and vote-splitting among Democratic contenders have kept the top-two contest tight, with any late shifts in turnout or endorsements likely to widen the gap before primary night.

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
交易量
$132,805
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"塔拉哈西市長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Loranne Ausley" at 56%, followed by "傑瑞米·馬特洛" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "塔拉哈西市長選舉贏家" has generated $132.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "塔拉哈西市長選舉贏家," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "塔拉哈西市長選舉贏家" is "Loranne Ausley" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "傑瑞米·馬特洛" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "塔拉哈西市長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.