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icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？
政治·以色列

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？

icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？
政治·以色列

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？

12月 31

12月 31

$625,215 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$625,215 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 美國

美國

$16,213 交易量

7%

icon for 義大利

義大利

$15,147 交易量

16%

icon for 荷蘭

荷蘭

$49,506 交易量

19%

icon for 日本

日本

$39,871 交易量

18%

icon for 德國

德國

$66,254 交易量

7%

icon for 比利時

比利時

$66,398 交易量

18%

icon for 芬蘭

芬蘭

$37,737 交易量

18%

icon for 奧地利

奧地利

$171,875 交易量

1%

icon for 希臘

希臘

$45,133 交易量

9%

icon for 紐西蘭

紐西蘭

$117,080 交易量

20%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent waves of formal recognition by Western nations, including the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, France, Portugal, and several smaller European states in September 2025 at the UN General Assembly, have raised the total to 157 UN members. These moves stem from coordinated diplomatic efforts, such as the France-Saudi Arabia conference on a two-state solution, amid ongoing Gaza hostilities and settlement expansion in the West Bank. Remaining major holdouts like the United States continue to withhold recognition, while countries such as New Zealand, Italy, and Japan face varying domestic and alliance pressures that could prompt announcements before the 2027 cutoff. Upcoming UN sessions, bilateral negotiations, and shifts in coalition governments remain key variables that could influence further recognitions and associated market probabilities.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$625,215
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent waves of formal recognition by Western nations, including the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, France, Portugal, and several smaller European states in September 2025 at the UN General Assembly, have raised the total to 157 UN members. These moves stem from coordinated diplomatic efforts, such as the France-Saudi Arabia conference on a two-state solution, amid ongoing Gaza hostilities and settlement expansion in the West Bank. Remaining major holdouts like the United States continue to withhold recognition, while countries such as New Zealand, Italy, and Japan face varying domestic and alliance pressures that could prompt announcements before the 2027 cutoff. Upcoming UN sessions, bilateral negotiations, and shifts in coalition governments remain key variables that could influence further recognitions and associated market probabilities.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$625,215
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "紐西蘭" at 20%, followed by "荷蘭" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" has generated $625.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" is "紐西蘭" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "荷蘭" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.