誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？

$41,017 交易量

2026-12-31

Pete Buttigieg

$64 交易量

85%

加文·紐森

$3,470 交易量

81%

安迪·貝希爾

$20 交易量

78%

J.D. Vance

$95 交易量

76%

泰德·克魯茲

$1,136 交易量

75%

拉姆·伊曼紐爾

$70 交易量

74%

喬什·夏皮羅

$80 交易量

68%

J.B. 普利茨克

$45 交易量

67%

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$525 交易量

66%

科里·布克

$852 交易量

66%

亞歷山卓·奧卡西奧-科爾特茲

$2,163 交易量

66%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$468 交易量

75%

馬克·凱利

$100 交易量

62%

韋斯·摩爾

$120 交易量

60%

喬恩·奧索夫

$1,524 交易量

54%

坎迪斯·歐文斯

$0 交易量

51%

伊萬卡·川普

$0 交易量

50%

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$0 交易量

50%

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$0 交易量

48%

馬特·蓋茨

$0 交易量

47%

唐·萊蒙

$0 交易量

47%

馬可·魯比奧

$1,099 交易量

47%

蘭德·保羅

$121 交易量

36%

妮基·黑利

$60 交易量

36%

賈里德·波利斯

$80 交易量

35%

格雷琴·惠特默

$725 交易量

33%

楊安澤

$1,159 交易量

40%

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$60 交易量

31%

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$60 交易量

30%

Glenn Youngkin

$468 交易量

29%

凱蒂·布里特

$0 交易量

28%

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪 Jr.

$465 交易量

28%

唐納德·川普

$0 交易量

27%

唐納·川普二世

$332 交易量

27%

史蒂夫·班農

$1,806 交易量

26%

貝托·奧洛克

$0 交易量

26%

布萊恩·坎普

$262 交易量

26%

喬治·克魯尼

$0 交易量

26%

圖西·加巴德

$482 交易量

25%

喬什·霍利

$1,348 交易量

24%

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$410 交易量

24%

約翰·費特曼

$1,639 交易量

21%

莉茲·切尼

$1,351 交易量

21%

菲爾·墨菲

$463 交易量

20%

吉娜·雷蒙多

$1,076 交易量

20%

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$811 交易量

19%

馬克·庫班

$143 交易量

19%

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

$20 交易量

19%

奧普拉·溫弗瑞

$0 交易量

18%

約翰·桑恩

$203 交易量

18%

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$1,256 交易量

17%

埃隆·馬斯克

$310 交易量

17%

邁克·彭斯

$542 交易量

17%

伯尼·桑德斯

$975 交易量

16%

巨石強森

$716 交易量

16%

Greg Abbott

$0 交易量

16%

米歇爾·歐巴馬

$783 交易量

16%

塔克·卡爾森

$1,111 交易量

14%

杭特·拜登

$1,265 交易量

14%

野獸先生

$1,062 交易量

14%

湯姆·布雷迪

$20 交易量

13%

金·卡戴珊

$1,535 交易量

13%

Zohran Mamdani

$970 交易量

13%

羅伊·庫珀

$0 交易量

13%

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$1,990 交易量

11%

Erika Kirk

$920 交易量

10%

蒂姆·沃爾茲

$1,961 交易量

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$0 交易量

切爾西·克林頓

$63 交易量

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$99 交易量

拜倫·唐納茲

$64 交易量

37%

$41,017 交易量

Pete Buttigieg

$64 交易量

85%

加文·紐森

$3,470 交易量

81%

安迪·貝希爾

$20 交易量

78%

J.D. Vance

$95 交易量

76%

泰德·克魯茲

$1,136 交易量

75%

拉姆·伊曼紐爾

$70 交易量

74%

喬什·夏皮羅

$80 交易量

68%

J.B. 普利茨克

$45 交易量

67%

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$525 交易量

66%

科里·布克

$852 交易量

66%

亞歷山卓·奧卡西奧-科爾特茲

$2,163 交易量

66%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$468 交易量

75%

馬克·凱利

$100 交易量

62%

韋斯·摩爾

$120 交易量

60%

喬恩·奧索夫

$1,524 交易量

54%

坎迪斯·歐文斯

$0 交易量

51%

伊萬卡·川普

$0 交易量

50%

莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$0 交易量

50%

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$0 交易量

48%

馬特·蓋茨

$0 交易量

47%

唐·萊蒙

$0 交易量

47%

馬可·魯比奧

$1,099 交易量

47%

蘭德·保羅

$121 交易量

36%

妮基·黑利

$60 交易量

36%

賈里德·波利斯

$80 交易量

35%

格雷琴·惠特默

$725 交易量

33%

楊安澤

$1,159 交易量

40%

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$60 交易量

31%

拉斐爾·沃諾克

$60 交易量

30%

Glenn Youngkin

$468 交易量

29%

凱蒂·布里特

$0 交易量

28%

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪 Jr.

$465 交易量

28%

唐納德·川普

$0 交易量

27%

唐納·川普二世

$332 交易量

27%

史蒂夫·班農

$1,806 交易量

26%

貝托·奧洛克

$0 交易量

26%

布萊恩·坎普

$262 交易量

26%

喬治·克魯尼

$0 交易量

26%

圖西·加巴德

$482 交易量

25%

喬什·霍利

$1,348 交易量

24%

瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$410 交易量

24%

約翰·費特曼

$1,639 交易量

21%

莉茲·切尼

$1,351 交易量

21%

菲爾·墨菲

$463 交易量

20%

吉娜·雷蒙多

$1,076 交易量

20%

史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$811 交易量

19%

馬克·庫班

$143 交易量

19%

伊麗絲·斯特凡尼克

$20 交易量

19%

奧普拉·溫弗瑞

$0 交易量

18%

約翰·桑恩

$203 交易量

18%

喬恩·斯圖爾特

$1,256 交易量

17%

埃隆·馬斯克

$310 交易量

17%

邁克·彭斯

$542 交易量

17%

伯尼·桑德斯

$975 交易量

16%

巨石強森

$716 交易量

16%

Greg Abbott

$0 交易量

16%

米歇爾·歐巴馬

$783 交易量

16%

塔克·卡爾森

$1,111 交易量

14%

杭特·拜登

$1,265 交易量

14%

野獸先生

$1,062 交易量

14%

湯姆·布雷迪

$20 交易量

13%

金·卡戴珊

$1,535 交易量

13%

Zohran Mamdani

$970 交易量

13%

羅伊·庫珀

$0 交易量

13%

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$1,990 交易量

11%

Erika Kirk

$920 交易量

10%

蒂姆·沃爾茲

$1,961 交易量

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$0 交易量

切爾西·克林頓

$63 交易量

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$99 交易量

拜倫·唐納茲

$64 交易量

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 85%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 81%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？" has generated $41K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？" is "Pete Buttigieg" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 81%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $41K traded on “誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 85¢ for "Pete Buttigieg" in the "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 85% chance that "Pete Buttigieg" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 85¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 15¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Dec 31, 2027 — that's roughly over 1 year away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？

誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？

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Frequently Asked Questions

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What are the current odds for "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？"?

How will "誰將在2028年之前宣布總統競選？" be resolved?

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What does a price of 85¢ for "Pete Buttigieg" mean?

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