Diplomatic relations between Israel and several nations remain strained amid ongoing regional conflicts, yet no additional expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred since South Africa’s January action against a chargé d’affaires. Recent opposition calls in France and the United Kingdom for such measures have not prompted government action, and major partners continue to maintain full diplomatic channels. Traders appear to view these tensions as insufficient to trigger further formal expulsions before the year-end deadline, consistent with the current 61 percent consensus favoring no such event. Scheduled diplomatic summits and routine bilateral engagements through late 2026 provide limited scope for abrupt shifts absent major escalations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$28,988 交易量
$28,988 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$28,988 交易量
$28,988 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic relations between Israel and several nations remain strained amid ongoing regional conflicts, yet no additional expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred since South Africa’s January action against a chargé d’affaires. Recent opposition calls in France and the United Kingdom for such measures have not prompted government action, and major partners continue to maintain full diplomatic channels. Traders appear to view these tensions as insufficient to trigger further formal expulsions before the year-end deadline, consistent with the current 61 percent consensus favoring no such event. Scheduled diplomatic summits and routine bilateral engagements through late 2026 provide limited scope for abrupt shifts absent major escalations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
交易量
$28,988結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic relations between Israel and several nations remain strained amid ongoing regional conflicts, yet no additional expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred since South Africa’s January action against a chargé d’affaires. Recent opposition calls in France and the United Kingdom for such measures have not prompted government action, and major partners continue to maintain full diplomatic channels. Traders appear to view these tensions as insufficient to trigger further formal expulsions before the year-end deadline, consistent with the current 61 percent consensus favoring no such event. Scheduled diplomatic summits and routine bilateral engagements through late 2026 provide limited scope for abrupt shifts absent major escalations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,988結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic relations between Israel and several nations remain strained amid ongoing regional conflicts, yet no additional expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred since South Africa’s January action against a chargé d’affaires. Recent opposition calls in France and the United Kingdom for such measures have not prompted government action, and major partners continue to maintain full diplomatic channels. Traders appear to view these tensions as insufficient to trigger further formal expulsions before the year-end deadline, consistent with the current 61 percent consensus favoring no such event. Scheduled diplomatic summits and routine bilateral engagements through late 2026 provide limited scope for abrupt shifts absent major escalations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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