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icon for AZ-01共和党初选获胜者
政治·主要

AZ-01共和党初选获胜者

icon for AZ-01共和党初选获胜者
政治·主要

AZ-01共和党初选获胜者

Jay Feely 71%

约瑟夫·查普利克 26.3%

杰森·杜伊 <1%

马特·格雷斯 <1%

Polymarket

$405,013 交易量

Jay Feely 71%

约瑟夫·查普利克 26.3%

杰森·杜伊 <1%

马特·格雷斯 <1%

Polymarket

$405,013 交易量

Jay Feely

$7,700 交易量

71%

约瑟夫·查普利克

$9,325 交易量

26%

杰森·杜伊

$3,092 交易量

1%

马特·格雷斯

$48,804 交易量

1%

吉娜·斯沃博达

$4,611 交易量

1%

约翰·特罗博

$3,525 交易量

<1%

凯特琳·珀林顿

$9,638 交易量

<1%

德里克·加列戈

$3,766 交易量

<1%

托德·格雷厄姆

$7,929 交易量

<1%

Kari Lake

$7,193 交易量

<1%

马克·布尔诺维奇

$61,436 交易量

<1%

Paul Reevs

$222,573 交易量

<1%

穆切尔·乌根蒂-丽塔

$4,589 交易量

<1%

布兰登·索沃斯

$10,833 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's January 2026 endorsement of Jay Feely, combined with National Republican Congressional Committee backing through its MAGA Majority program, has anchored trader consensus around the former NFL kicker and broadcaster in Arizona's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary. Feely's statewide name recognition and alignment with party priorities on spending restraint and border security have consolidated support ahead of the July 21 contest. Joseph Chaplik, the former state representative and Arizona Freedom Caucus member who resigned in March to campaign, maintains a narrower base rooted in legislative experience but faces headwinds from recent personal exchanges in the May 5 debate and subsequent public statements over immigration policy. Other entrants remain marginal as attention narrows to the two leading contenders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$405,013
结束日期
2026-08-04
市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's January 2026 endorsement of Jay Feely, combined with National Republican Congressional Committee backing through its MAGA Majority program, has anchored trader consensus around the former NFL kicker and broadcaster in Arizona's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary. Feely's statewide name recognition and alignment with party priorities on spending restraint and border security have consolidated support ahead of the July 21 contest. Joseph Chaplik, the former state representative and Arizona Freedom Caucus member who resigned in March to campaign, maintains a narrower base rooted in legislative experience but faces headwinds from recent personal exchanges in the May 5 debate and subsequent public statements over immigration policy. Other entrants remain marginal as attention narrows to the two leading contenders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$405,013
结束日期
2026-08-04
市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"AZ-01共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Jay Feely"，概率为 71%，其次是"约瑟夫·查普利克"，概率为 26%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 71¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 71%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"AZ-01共和党初选获胜者"已产生 $405K 的总交易量（自Nov 25, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"AZ-01共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"AZ-01共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"Jay Feely"，概率为 71%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 71%。紧随其后的结果是"约瑟夫·查普利克"，概率为 26%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"AZ-01共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。