PL leads trader consensus in the Brazil Chamber of Deputies race at 75.5 percent implied probability because it enters as the largest current caucus with roughly 100 seats and benefits from the proportional representation system that rewards established party infrastructure. Alignment with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid, backed by former president Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement, has consolidated right-wing support and mobilization ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Recent congressional overrides of presidential vetoes on measures favored by opposition allies have further underscored PL’s legislative influence. Other parties trail because they lack comparable incumbency advantages or unified national momentum, though the five-month window leaves room for candidate switches, legal challenges, or shifts in presidential polling to alter seat projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于PL 76%
UPB 11%
FE Brasil 6.4%
MDB 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
PL
76%
UPB
11%
FE Brasil
6%
MDB
2%
共和党（REPUBLICANOS）
2%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
1%
PSB
1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSD
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PDT
<1%
Avante
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PODE
<1%
PL 76%
UPB 11%
FE Brasil 6.4%
MDB 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
PL
$2,917 交易量
76%
UPB
$563 交易量
11%
FE Brasil
$444 交易量
6%
MDB
$239 交易量
2%
共和党（REPUBLICANOS）
$343 交易量
2%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$185 交易量
1%
PSB
$266 交易量
1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$195 交易量
<1%
PSD
$175 交易量
<1%
MISSÃO
$237 交易量
<1%
PDT
$166 交易量
<1%
Avante
$200 交易量
<1%
NOVO
$165 交易量
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$200 交易量
<1%
PODE
$170 交易量
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads trader consensus in the Brazil Chamber of Deputies race at 75.5 percent implied probability because it enters as the largest current caucus with roughly 100 seats and benefits from the proportional representation system that rewards established party infrastructure. Alignment with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid, backed by former president Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement, has consolidated right-wing support and mobilization ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Recent congressional overrides of presidential vetoes on measures favored by opposition allies have further underscored PL’s legislative influence. Other parties trail because they lack comparable incumbency advantages or unified national momentum, though the five-month window leaves room for candidate switches, legal challenges, or shifts in presidential polling to alter seat projections.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
交易量
$6,460结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads trader consensus in the Brazil Chamber of Deputies race at 75.5 percent implied probability because it enters as the largest current caucus with roughly 100 seats and benefits from the proportional representation system that rewards established party infrastructure. Alignment with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid, backed by former president Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement, has consolidated right-wing support and mobilization ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Recent congressional overrides of presidential vetoes on measures favored by opposition allies have further underscored PL’s legislative influence. Other parties trail because they lack comparable incumbency advantages or unified national momentum, though the five-month window leaves room for candidate switches, legal challenges, or shifts in presidential polling to alter seat projections.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
交易量
$6,460结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL leads trader consensus in the Brazil Chamber of Deputies race at 75.5 percent implied probability because it enters as the largest current caucus with roughly 100 seats and benefits from the proportional representation system that rewards established party infrastructure. Alignment with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid, backed by former president Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement, has consolidated right-wing support and mobilization ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Recent congressional overrides of presidential vetoes on measures favored by opposition allies have further underscored PL’s legislative influence. Other parties trail because they lack comparable incumbency advantages or unified national momentum, though the five-month window leaves room for candidate switches, legal challenges, or shifts in presidential polling to alter seat projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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