Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas and his formal pre-candidacy launch in mid-May. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys from April and May show Gomes drawing 41-47 percent in first-round scenarios against Freitas at around 32 percent, bolstered by his prior governorship, broad name recognition, and new alliances including support from the PL and potential running mate Roberto Cláudio. Freitas retains backing within the PT base but trails in head-to-head matchups, while Camilo Santana registers lower probabilities as a non-declared contender. The October 4 first-round vote and possible runoff remain key milestones that could shift these dynamics amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
卡米洛·桑塔纳 4.1%
Capitão Wagner 3.6%
$55,498 交易量
$55,498 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
68%
Elmano de Freitas
30%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
4%
Capitão Wagner
4%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
卡米洛·桑塔纳 4.1%
Capitão Wagner 3.6%
$55,498 交易量
$55,498 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 交易量
68%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,367 交易量
30%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$3,305 交易量
4%
Capitão Wagner
$4,304 交易量
4%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 交易量
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 交易量
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas and his formal pre-candidacy launch in mid-May. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys from April and May show Gomes drawing 41-47 percent in first-round scenarios against Freitas at around 32 percent, bolstered by his prior governorship, broad name recognition, and new alliances including support from the PL and potential running mate Roberto Cláudio. Freitas retains backing within the PT base but trails in head-to-head matchups, while Camilo Santana registers lower probabilities as a non-declared contender. The October 4 first-round vote and possible runoff remain key milestones that could shift these dynamics amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$55,498结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas and his formal pre-candidacy launch in mid-May. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys from April and May show Gomes drawing 41-47 percent in first-round scenarios against Freitas at around 32 percent, bolstered by his prior governorship, broad name recognition, and new alliances including support from the PL and potential running mate Roberto Cláudio. Freitas retains backing within the PT base but trails in head-to-head matchups, while Camilo Santana registers lower probabilities as a non-declared contender. The October 4 first-round vote and possible runoff remain key milestones that could shift these dynamics amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$55,498结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas and his formal pre-candidacy launch in mid-May. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys from April and May show Gomes drawing 41-47 percent in first-round scenarios against Freitas at around 32 percent, bolstered by his prior governorship, broad name recognition, and new alliances including support from the PL and potential running mate Roberto Cláudio. Freitas retains backing within the PT base but trails in head-to-head matchups, while Camilo Santana registers lower probabilities as a non-declared contender. The October 4 first-round vote and possible runoff remain key milestones that could shift these dynamics amid ongoing coalition negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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