Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain expectations that FISA Section 702, authorizing warrantless surveillance of non-U.S. persons abroad for foreign intelligence, was reauthorized before its April 20, 2026 sunset, driven by Congress's bipartisan actions in late April. The House passed a three-year extension bill (235-191) on April 29 following House Intelligence Chairman Crawford's revised reform proposal, while the Senate approved a 45-day extension that day—signed into law hours before a key deadline—to avert lapse of certifications. Historical patterns of last-minute renewals (2018, 2024) and intelligence agency emphasis on counterterrorism underpin the 98% Yes pricing, with slim risks like procedural challenges or veto now negligible. Senate action on a longer-term bill looms before the new mid-June cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,917 交易量
$40,917 交易量
2026-04-30
$40,917 交易量
$40,917 交易量
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain expectations that FISA Section 702, authorizing warrantless surveillance of non-U.S. persons abroad for foreign intelligence, was reauthorized before its April 20, 2026 sunset, driven by Congress's bipartisan actions in late April. The House passed a three-year extension bill (235-191) on April 29 following House Intelligence Chairman Crawford's revised reform proposal, while the Senate approved a 45-day extension that day—signed into law hours before a key deadline—to avert lapse of certifications. Historical patterns of last-minute renewals (2018, 2024) and intelligence agency emphasis on counterterrorism underpin the 98% Yes pricing, with slim risks like procedural challenges or veto now negligible. Senate action on a longer-term bill looms before the new mid-June cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$40,917结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain expectations that FISA Section 702, authorizing warrantless surveillance of non-U.S. persons abroad for foreign intelligence, was reauthorized before its April 20, 2026 sunset, driven by Congress's bipartisan actions in late April. The House passed a three-year extension bill (235-191) on April 29 following House Intelligence Chairman Crawford's revised reform proposal, while the Senate approved a 45-day extension that day—signed into law hours before a key deadline—to avert lapse of certifications. Historical patterns of last-minute renewals (2018, 2024) and intelligence agency emphasis on counterterrorism underpin the 98% Yes pricing, with slim risks like procedural challenges or veto now negligible. Senate action on a longer-term bill looms before the new mid-June cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$40,917结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain expectations that FISA Section 702, authorizing warrantless surveillance of non-U.S. persons abroad for foreign intelligence, was reauthorized before its April 20, 2026 sunset, driven by Congress's bipartisan actions in late April. The House passed a three-year extension bill (235-191) on April 29 following House Intelligence Chairman Crawford's revised reform proposal, while the Senate approved a 45-day extension that day—signed into law hours before a key deadline—to avert lapse of certifications. Historical patterns of last-minute renewals (2018, 2024) and intelligence agency emphasis on counterterrorism underpin the 98% Yes pricing, with slim risks like procedural challenges or veto now negligible. Senate action on a longer-term bill looms before the new mid-June cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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