Recent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
5月17日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$30,567 交易量
$30,567 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$30,567 交易量
$30,567 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
$1,693 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,642 交易量
<1%
12°C
$2,152 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,563 交易量
<1%
14°C
$6,869 交易量
99%
15°C
$4,856 交易量
<1%
16°C
$3,376 交易量
<1%
17°C
$3,348 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,606 交易量
<1%
19°C
$957 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$526 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$30,567结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,567结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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