Current ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to maximum temperatures in Ankara of 31–32°C on August 20 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating typical of the region's continental climate in late summer. Model runs show only minor differences in afternoon peak timing or subtle moisture advection that could tip the outcome by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between those two bins. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, while any last-minute revisions from updated GFS or ECMWF runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月20日安卡拉的最高温度？
32°C 44%
31°C 42%
30°C 10%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
42%
32°C
44%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 44%
31°C 42%
30°C 10%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
25°C or below
$191 交易量
<1%
26°C
$157 交易量
<1%
27°C
$149 交易量
<1%
28°C
$95 交易量
1%
29°C
$62 交易量
3%
30°C
$261 交易量
10%
31°C
$78 交易量
42%
32°C
$143 交易量
44%
33°C
$180 交易量
6%
34°C
$93 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to maximum temperatures in Ankara of 31–32°C on August 20 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating typical of the region's continental climate in late summer. Model runs show only minor differences in afternoon peak timing or subtle moisture advection that could tip the outcome by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between those two bins. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, while any last-minute revisions from updated GFS or ECMWF runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,420结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to maximum temperatures in Ankara of 31–32°C on August 20 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating typical of the region's continental climate in late summer. Model runs show only minor differences in afternoon peak timing or subtle moisture advection that could tip the outcome by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between those two bins. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, while any last-minute revisions from updated GFS or ECMWF runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,420结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather point to maximum temperatures in Ankara of 31–32°C on August 20 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating typical of the region's continental climate in late summer. Model runs show only minor differences in afternoon peak timing or subtle moisture advection that could tip the outcome by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between those two bins. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, while any last-minute revisions from updated GFS or ECMWF runs ahead of the date could shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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