Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre indicate a maximum of 29–30°C in Beijing on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms, which reduce solar heating through cloud cover while promoting evaporative cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where seasonal cooling typically caps highs near 30°C after earlier summer peaks. Ensemble models show narrow spread around this range, supporting trader consensus on the 30°C outcome as the most probable resolution under standard observational criteria from Beijing stations. A shift to clearer skies or delayed convection could allow isolated readings near 31°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日北京气温最高?
30°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$93,913 交易量
$93,913 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
30°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$93,913 交易量
$93,913 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from China’s National Meteorological Centre indicate a maximum of 29–30°C in Beijing on August 13 under widespread thunderstorms, which reduce solar heating through cloud cover while promoting evaporative cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where seasonal cooling typically caps highs near 30°C after earlier summer peaks. Ensemble models show narrow spread around this range, supporting trader consensus on the 30°C outcome as the most probable resolution under standard observational criteria from Beijing stations. A shift to clearer skies or delayed convection could allow isolated readings near 31°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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