Current meteorological observations and official forecast models from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns indicate a daily high of 19°C in Beijing on May 17, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions in northern China, including moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and typical May climatology with averages near 26°C but cooler episodes possible, underpin trader consensus around this narrow range. Minor variations in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C, yet the tight clustering of probabilities reflects high model agreement and limited upside risk for warmer scenarios as the day progresses toward resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日北京气温最高？
5月17日北京气温最高？
19°C 99.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$70,752 交易量
$70,752 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$70,752 交易量
$70,752 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
$517 交易量
<1%
14°C
$640 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,765 交易量
<1%
16°C
$6,587 交易量
<1%
17°C
$8,776 交易量
<1%
18°C
$14,331 交易量
<1%
19°C
$9,295 交易量
99%
20°C
$9,186 交易量
1%
21°C
$5,593 交易量
<1%
22°C
$7,360 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,719 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and official forecast models from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns indicate a daily high of 19°C in Beijing on May 17, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions in northern China, including moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and typical May climatology with averages near 26°C but cooler episodes possible, underpin trader consensus around this narrow range. Minor variations in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C, yet the tight clustering of probabilities reflects high model agreement and limited upside risk for warmer scenarios as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$70,752结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and official forecast models from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns indicate a daily high of 19°C in Beijing on May 17, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions in northern China, including moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and typical May climatology with averages near 26°C but cooler episodes possible, underpin trader consensus around this narrow range. Minor variations in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C, yet the tight clustering of probabilities reflects high model agreement and limited upside risk for warmer scenarios as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$70,752结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent meteorological observations and official forecast models from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns indicate a daily high of 19°C in Beijing on May 17, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions in northern China, including moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and typical May climatology with averages near 26°C but cooler episodes possible, underpin trader consensus around this narrow range. Minor variations in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C, yet the tight clustering of probabilities reflects high model agreement and limited upside risk for warmer scenarios as the day progresses toward resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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