Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models converge on a Beijing maximum near 27°C for May 18, driven by predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow that promotes steady daytime warming without strong cold-air advection or persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. This narrow uncertainty band explains why 27°C and 28°C hold the largest shares of market-implied probability, with traders incorporating the realistic potential for a 1°C adjustment based on final observations at Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical May climatology shows typical highs in this range under similar high-pressure setups, while any subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could tip the peak across the 27–28°C threshold on resolution day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日北京气温最高？
5月18日北京气温最高？
27°C 32%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
25°C 15%
最新
$25,242 交易量
最新
$25,242 交易量
2026-05-18
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
18%
27°C
32%
28°C
24%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
25°C 15%
最新
$25,242 交易量
最新
$25,242 交易量
2026-05-18
22°C or below
$8,418 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,217 交易量
1%
24°C
$3,197 交易量
3%
25°C
$1,993 交易量
15%
26°C
$1,831 交易量
18%
27°C
$1,112 交易量
32%
28°C
$1,008 交易量
24%
29°C
$726 交易量
6%
30°C
$425 交易量
2%
31°C
$1,345 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$1,981 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models converge on a Beijing maximum near 27°C for May 18, driven by predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow that promotes steady daytime warming without strong cold-air advection or persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. This narrow uncertainty band explains why 27°C and 28°C hold the largest shares of market-implied probability, with traders incorporating the realistic potential for a 1°C adjustment based on final observations at Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical May climatology shows typical highs in this range under similar high-pressure setups, while any subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could tip the peak across the 27–28°C threshold on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$25,242结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models converge on a Beijing maximum near 27°C for May 18, driven by predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow that promotes steady daytime warming without strong cold-air advection or persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. This narrow uncertainty band explains why 27°C and 28°C hold the largest shares of market-implied probability, with traders incorporating the realistic potential for a 1°C adjustment based on final observations at Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical May climatology shows typical highs in this range under similar high-pressure setups, while any subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could tip the peak across the 27–28°C threshold on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$25,242结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETForecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models converge on a Beijing maximum near 27°C for May 18, driven by predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow that promotes steady daytime warming without strong cold-air advection or persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. This narrow uncertainty band explains why 27°C and 28°C hold the largest shares of market-implied probability, with traders incorporating the realistic potential for a 1°C adjustment based on final observations at Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical May climatology shows typical highs in this range under similar high-pressure setups, while any subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could tip the peak across the 27–28°C threshold on resolution day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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