Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official monitoring station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s strong 89% implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today, with historical analogs confirming similar autumn cooling patterns after cold fronts. Minor uncertainty remains from possible afternoon cloud breaks or slight forecast revisions, but current observations align closely with the leading bracket as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,170 交易量
$32,170 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,170 交易量
$32,170 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official monitoring station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the market’s strong 89% implied probability for the 14°C outcome. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today, with historical analogs confirming similar autumn cooling patterns after cold fronts. Minor uncertainty remains from possible afternoon cloud breaks or slight forecast revisions, but current observations align closely with the leading bracket as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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