Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical mid-May high in Buenos Aires near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with climatological baselines for the region during autumn, when cooler southerly air masses moderate daytime peaks while limiting overnight lows to around 12°C. Minor variations in expected cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the maximum by 1–2°C, creating uncertainty between the leading 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C options. Official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum recorded at the central station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
16°C 37%
17°C 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 16%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
22%
16°C
37%
17°C
26%
18°C
16%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 37%
17°C 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 16%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
22%
16°C
37%
17°C
26%
18°C
16%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical mid-May high in Buenos Aires near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with climatological baselines for the region during autumn, when cooler southerly air masses moderate daytime peaks while limiting overnight lows to around 12°C. Minor variations in expected cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the maximum by 1–2°C, creating uncertainty between the leading 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C options. Official observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum recorded at the central station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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