Current forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and South African weather services, indicate a maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on August 14 under fine to partly cloudy winter conditions with light winds. This aligns closely with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 46% implied probability, followed by 19°C and 17°C. Typical August highs average near 17°C, and recent model runs show limited deviation due to stable high-pressure influence over the Western Cape, with minimal risk of warmer advection or cold fronts altering temperatures significantly before resolution. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will confirm the final reading used for settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日开普敦气温最高？
8月14日开普敦气温最高？
18°C 46%
19°C 21%
17°C 20%
16°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
20%
18°C
46%
19°C
21%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C或更高
<1%
18°C 46%
19°C 21%
17°C 20%
16°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
13°C或以下
$506 交易量
<1%
14°C
$73 交易量
1%
15°C
$48 交易量
1%
16°C
$201 交易量
4%
17°C
$466 交易量
20%
18°C
$377 交易量
46%
19°C
$1,118 交易量
21%
20°C
$525 交易量
4%
21°C
$371 交易量
3%
22°C
$79 交易量
1%
23°C或更高
$566 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and South African weather services, indicate a maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on August 14 under fine to partly cloudy winter conditions with light winds. This aligns closely with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 46% implied probability, followed by 19°C and 17°C. Typical August highs average near 17°C, and recent model runs show limited deviation due to stable high-pressure influence over the Western Cape, with minimal risk of warmer advection or cold fronts altering temperatures significantly before resolution. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will confirm the final reading used for settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,330结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and South African weather services, indicate a maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on August 14 under fine to partly cloudy winter conditions with light winds. This aligns closely with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 46% implied probability, followed by 19°C and 17°C. Typical August highs average near 17°C, and recent model runs show limited deviation due to stable high-pressure influence over the Western Cape, with minimal risk of warmer advection or cold fronts altering temperatures significantly before resolution. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will confirm the final reading used for settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,330结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and South African weather services, indicate a maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on August 14 under fine to partly cloudy winter conditions with light winds. This aligns closely with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 46% implied probability, followed by 19°C and 17°C. Typical August highs average near 17°C, and recent model runs show limited deviation due to stable high-pressure influence over the Western Cape, with minimal risk of warmer advection or cold fronts altering temperatures significantly before resolution. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will confirm the final reading used for settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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