Trader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日开普敦气温最高？
5月17日开普敦气温最高？
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
$19,672 交易量
$19,672 交易量
2026-05-17
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
$19,672 交易量
$19,672 交易量
2026-05-17
14°C或以下
$534 交易量
<1%
15°C
$787 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,520 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,021 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,433 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,203 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,878 交易量
100%
21°C
$2,018 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,617 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,737 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$924 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$19,672结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,672结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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