Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate that atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin on August 12 have produced a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with historical August climatology showing frequent peaks of 35–38°C in Chengdu, with recent observational data confirming the threshold. The market-implied 100% consensus reflects trader assessment of these verified trends and near-term station readings. Unlikely challenges include localized microclimate variations at official monitoring sites or last-minute model revisions incorporating unexpected precipitation, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's advanced timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日成都气温最高？
8月12日成都气温最高？
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$51,803 交易量
$51,803 交易量
2026-08-12
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$51,803 交易量
$51,803 交易量
2026-08-12
32°C or below
$2,886 交易量
No
33°C
$1,730 交易量
No
34°C
$4,864 交易量
No
35°C
$4,369 交易量
No
36°C
$6,328 交易量
No
37°C
$9,508 交易量
No
38°C
$9,283 交易量
Yes
39°C
$6,505 交易量
No
40°C
$4,652 交易量
No
41°C
$1,306 交易量
No
42°C or higher
$371 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate that atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin on August 12 have produced a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with historical August climatology showing frequent peaks of 35–38°C in Chengdu, with recent observational data confirming the threshold. The market-implied 100% consensus reflects trader assessment of these verified trends and near-term station readings. Unlikely challenges include localized microclimate variations at official monitoring sites or last-minute model revisions incorporating unexpected precipitation, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's advanced timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$51,803结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate that atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin on August 12 have produced a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with historical August climatology showing frequent peaks of 35–38°C in Chengdu, with recent observational data confirming the threshold. The market-implied 100% consensus reflects trader assessment of these verified trends and near-term station readings. Unlikely challenges include localized microclimate variations at official monitoring sites or last-minute model revisions incorporating unexpected precipitation, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's advanced timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,803结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate that atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin on August 12 have produced a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with historical August climatology showing frequent peaks of 35–38°C in Chengdu, with recent observational data confirming the threshold. The market-implied 100% consensus reflects trader assessment of these verified trends and near-term station readings. Unlikely challenges include localized microclimate variations at official monitoring sites or last-minute model revisions incorporating unexpected precipitation, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's advanced timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题