Trader consensus has firmly settled on 31°C as the highest temperature expected in Chengdu on May 17, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models that incorporate current atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are transporting warmer air into the region, pushing daytime maxima above the seasonal May average of 26–28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread across ensemble runs, with peak readings anticipated during the afternoon hours under mostly clear skies. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized precipitation could trim the maximum by a degree or two, yet the narrow forecast window and consistent observational data make any significant downward revision unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日成都气温最高？
5月17日成都气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,051 交易量
$66,051 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,051 交易量
$66,051 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
$1,343 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,745 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,055 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,023 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,948 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6,235 交易量
<1%
29°C
$6,406 交易量
<1%
30°C
$9,434 交易量
<1%
31°C
$11,148 交易量
100%
32°C
$8,789 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,925 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has firmly settled on 31°C as the highest temperature expected in Chengdu on May 17, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models that incorporate current atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are transporting warmer air into the region, pushing daytime maxima above the seasonal May average of 26–28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread across ensemble runs, with peak readings anticipated during the afternoon hours under mostly clear skies. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized precipitation could trim the maximum by a degree or two, yet the narrow forecast window and consistent observational data make any significant downward revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$66,051结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has firmly settled on 31°C as the highest temperature expected in Chengdu on May 17, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models that incorporate current atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are transporting warmer air into the region, pushing daytime maxima above the seasonal May average of 26–28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread across ensemble runs, with peak readings anticipated during the afternoon hours under mostly clear skies. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized precipitation could trim the maximum by a degree or two, yet the narrow forecast window and consistent observational data make any significant downward revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$66,051结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus has firmly settled on 31°C as the highest temperature expected in Chengdu on May 17, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models that incorporate current atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are transporting warmer air into the region, pushing daytime maxima above the seasonal May average of 26–28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread across ensemble runs, with peak readings anticipated during the afternoon hours under mostly clear skies. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized precipitation could trim the maximum by a degree or two, yet the narrow forecast window and consistent observational data make any significant downward revision unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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