Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance positions Dallas highs near 100°F on August 7 amid a persistent subtropical ridge driving subsidence and clear skies across North Texas. Model consensus favors minimal cloud cover or moisture return, limiting afternoon convection that could otherwise cap temperatures, while climatological norms for early August already support daily maxima around 99°F. Short-term runs show little day-to-day variability through the weekend, reinforcing trader preference for the 100-101°F bin over cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected from the NWS and European model this evening could shift odds if steering flow or boundary-layer moisture deviates from current solutions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日达拉斯的最高温度?
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 7%
$15,192 交易量
$15,192 交易量
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 7%
$15,192 交易量
$15,192 交易量
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance positions Dallas highs near 100°F on August 7 amid a persistent subtropical ridge driving subsidence and clear skies across North Texas. Model consensus favors minimal cloud cover or moisture return, limiting afternoon convection that could otherwise cap temperatures, while climatological norms for early August already support daily maxima around 99°F. Short-term runs show little day-to-day variability through the weekend, reinforcing trader preference for the 100-101°F bin over cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected from the NWS and European model this evening could shift odds if steering flow or boundary-layer moisture deviates from current solutions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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