Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月6日最高气温?
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
29°C或以下
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
36%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
29°C或以下
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
36%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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