Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 24?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$887,205 交易量
$887,205 交易量
2026-04-24
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$887,205 交易量
$887,205 交易量
2026-04-24
18°C or below
$22,675 交易量
No
19°C
$22,659 交易量
No
20°C
$42,591 交易量
No
21°C
$110,182 交易量
No
22°C
$240,322 交易量
No
23°C
$153,583 交易量
Yes
24°C
$67,434 交易量
No
25°C
$50,968 交易量
No
26°C
$52,905 交易量
No
27°C
$63,694 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$60,191 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$887,205结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$887,205结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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