Traders assign overwhelming 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 13, 2026, because official forecasts and climatological data place the day's maximum firmly in the 30–35°C range typical of peak summer in Shandong province. China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project afternoon highs exceeding 28–32°C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure patterns, with recent regional high-temperature warnings reinforcing the outlook. This aligns with historical August averages of 30°C+ and minimal day-to-day variability at this latitude. Only an unprecedented late-season cold surge or instrument failure could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold, scenarios unsupported by current model consensus or observational trends as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日济南气温最高？
8月13日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 99.9%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.9%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
16°C or below
$2,110 交易量
<1%
17°C
$110 交易量
<1%
18°C
$110 交易量
<1%
19°C
$260 交易量
<1%
20°C
$463 交易量
<1%
21°C
$171 交易量
<1%
22°C
$171 交易量
<1%
23°C
$421 交易量
<1%
24°C
$421 交易量
<1%
25°C
$763 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$2,938 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 13, 2026, because official forecasts and climatological data place the day's maximum firmly in the 30–35°C range typical of peak summer in Shandong province. China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project afternoon highs exceeding 28–32°C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure patterns, with recent regional high-temperature warnings reinforcing the outlook. This aligns with historical August averages of 30°C+ and minimal day-to-day variability at this latitude. Only an unprecedented late-season cold surge or instrument failure could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold, scenarios unsupported by current model consensus or observational trends as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$7,937结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 13, 2026, because official forecasts and climatological data place the day's maximum firmly in the 30–35°C range typical of peak summer in Shandong province. China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project afternoon highs exceeding 28–32°C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure patterns, with recent regional high-temperature warnings reinforcing the outlook. This aligns with historical August averages of 30°C+ and minimal day-to-day variability at this latitude. Only an unprecedented late-season cold surge or instrument failure could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold, scenarios unsupported by current model consensus or observational trends as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,937结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETTraders assign overwhelming 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 13, 2026, because official forecasts and climatological data place the day's maximum firmly in the 30–35°C range typical of peak summer in Shandong province. China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project afternoon highs exceeding 28–32°C under prevailing subtropical high-pressure patterns, with recent regional high-temperature warnings reinforcing the outlook. This aligns with historical August averages of 30°C+ and minimal day-to-day variability at this latitude. Only an unprecedented late-season cold surge or instrument failure could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold, scenarios unsupported by current model consensus or observational trends as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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