Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 30–32°C on August 27, driven by residual warmth under partly cloudy skies despite scattered thunderstorms and a shift to northerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where average highs hover around 30–31°C, and recent days reached 34–35°C before cooling began. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust observational and model consensus, with minimal divergence among authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly intense or prolonged rain event suppressing temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows only modest impacts from precipitation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日济南气温最高？
8月27日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,247 交易量
$15,247 交易量
2026-08-27
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,247 交易量
$15,247 交易量
2026-08-27
16°C or below
$1,112 交易量
No
17°C
$838 交易量
No
18°C
$420 交易量
No
19°C
$420 交易量
No
20°C
$505 交易量
No
21°C
$615 交易量
No
22°C
$320 交易量
No
23°C
$618 交易量
No
24°C
$1,153 交易量
No
25°C
$1,287 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$7,959 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 30–32°C on August 27, driven by residual warmth under partly cloudy skies despite scattered thunderstorms and a shift to northerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where average highs hover around 30–31°C, and recent days reached 34–35°C before cooling began. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust observational and model consensus, with minimal divergence among authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly intense or prolonged rain event suppressing temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows only modest impacts from precipitation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$15,247结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 30–32°C on August 27, driven by residual warmth under partly cloudy skies despite scattered thunderstorms and a shift to northerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where average highs hover around 30–31°C, and recent days reached 34–35°C before cooling began. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust observational and model consensus, with minimal divergence among authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly intense or prolonged rain event suppressing temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows only modest impacts from precipitation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,247结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 30–32°C on August 27, driven by residual warmth under partly cloudy skies despite scattered thunderstorms and a shift to northerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where average highs hover around 30–31°C, and recent days reached 34–35°C before cooling began. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust observational and model consensus, with minimal divergence among authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly intense or prolonged rain event suppressing temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows only modest impacts from precipitation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题