**Forecast models from multiple sources project a high of 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F) in Jinan on September 3, 2026, under clear to sunny skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus stems from persistent high-pressure conditions across northern China that favor strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover, consistent with early-September climatology where average highs reach 28–30°C before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. Recent observations show Jinan recording 28–30°C highs on September 1–2 with similar clear patterns, reinforcing model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and Yr.no. Traders assign 98.8% implied probability to 26°C or higher because current guidance shows virtually no realistic pathway to sub-26°C readings; even modest model spread remains well above that threshold. The main variables that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover that reduces insolation, or a faster-than-expected frontal passage—though none of the latest model suites indicate these developments before September 3. Updated short-range forecasts issued overnight or early on the 3rd will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日济南气温最高？
9月3日济南气温最高？
26°C或更高 98.8%
25°C 1.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
99%
26°C或更高 98.8%
25°C 1.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
16°C或以下
$1,125 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,125 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,134 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,130 交易量
<1%
20°C
$230 交易量
<1%
21°C
$131 交易量
<1%
22°C
$8 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4 交易量
1%
26°C或更高
$2,016 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources project a high of 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F) in Jinan on September 3, 2026, under clear to sunny skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus stems from persistent high-pressure conditions across northern China that favor strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover, consistent with early-September climatology where average highs reach 28–30°C before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month.
Recent observations show Jinan recording 28–30°C highs on September 1–2 with similar clear patterns, reinforcing model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and Yr.no. Traders assign 98.8% implied probability to 26°C or higher because current guidance shows virtually no realistic pathway to sub-26°C readings; even modest model spread remains well above that threshold.
The main variables that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover that reduces insolation, or a faster-than-expected frontal passage—though none of the latest model suites indicate these developments before September 3. Updated short-range forecasts issued overnight or early on the 3rd will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$6,915结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources project a high of 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F) in Jinan on September 3, 2026, under clear to sunny skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus stems from persistent high-pressure conditions across northern China that favor strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover, consistent with early-September climatology where average highs reach 28–30°C before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month.
Recent observations show Jinan recording 28–30°C highs on September 1–2 with similar clear patterns, reinforcing model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and Yr.no. Traders assign 98.8% implied probability to 26°C or higher because current guidance shows virtually no realistic pathway to sub-26°C readings; even modest model spread remains well above that threshold.
The main variables that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover that reduces insolation, or a faster-than-expected frontal passage—though none of the latest model suites indicate these developments before September 3. Updated short-range forecasts issued overnight or early on the 3rd will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,915结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Forecast models from multiple sources project a high of 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F) in Jinan on September 3, 2026, under clear to sunny skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus stems from persistent high-pressure conditions across northern China that favor strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover, consistent with early-September climatology where average highs reach 28–30°C before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. Recent observations show Jinan recording 28–30°C highs on September 1–2 with similar clear patterns, reinforcing model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration, WeatherBug, and Yr.no. Traders assign 98.8% implied probability to 26°C or higher because current guidance shows virtually no realistic pathway to sub-26°C readings; even modest model spread remains well above that threshold. The main variables that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover that reduces insolation, or a faster-than-expected frontal passage—though none of the latest model suites indicate these developments before September 3. Updated short-range forecasts issued overnight or early on the 3rd will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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