National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the key resolution station, currently project a daily maximum near 77–78°F on August 7 amid a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow. This pattern, typical for early August along the coast, limits daytime heating and aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward the 76–79°F bins. Ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation expected before the 24–48 hour window, while climatological normals hover around 76°F. Inland valleys may warm more but do not influence the airport reading used for settlement. Updated model runs and any marine-layer erosion remain the main near-term variables that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日洛杉矶气温最高?
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 40%
80-81°F 5%
74-75°F 3%
$23,876 交易量
$23,876 交易量
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 40%
80-81°F 5%
74-75°F 3%
$23,876 交易量
$23,876 交易量
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the key resolution station, currently project a daily maximum near 77–78°F on August 7 amid a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow. This pattern, typical for early August along the coast, limits daytime heating and aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward the 76–79°F bins. Ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation expected before the 24–48 hour window, while climatological normals hover around 76°F. Inland valleys may warm more but do not influence the airport reading used for settlement. Updated model runs and any marine-layer erosion remain the main near-term variables that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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