India Meteorological Department forecasts anchor the near-certain market consensus for a Lucknow maximum of 41°C or below on May 17, projecting 38–41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. Recent observations show daytime highs several degrees below the 40–43°C climatological baseline, owing to lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that limited solar insolation and surface heating. With minimal spread among short-range models, traders see only slim odds of breaching 42°C if drier northwesterly flow strengthens later in the day. Official resolution rests on the Lucknow observatory’s final reading, leaving little room for upward revision absent an unexpected late-day shift in local conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日勒克瑙的最高温度?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$41,671 交易量
$41,671 交易量
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$41,671 交易量
$41,671 交易量
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department forecasts anchor the near-certain market consensus for a Lucknow maximum of 41°C or below on May 17, projecting 38–41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. Recent observations show daytime highs several degrees below the 40–43°C climatological baseline, owing to lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that limited solar insolation and surface heating. With minimal spread among short-range models, traders see only slim odds of breaching 42°C if drier northwesterly flow strengthens later in the day. Official resolution rests on the Lucknow observatory’s final reading, leaving little room for upward revision absent an unexpected late-day shift in local conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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