Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department, or IMD, show Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 17 holding near or below 41°C amid typical pre-monsoon clear skies and moderate westerly flow across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, supported by the latest model consensus and local observational trends, underpins the market’s 97.5% implied probability for the 41°C-or-below bracket. Historical May averages of 39–42°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture appear to suppress further intensification. A sudden shift in upper-level winds or clearer skies could allow temperatures to reach 42°C, though such revisions would require notable changes in the next IMD update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日勒克瑙的最高温度？
5月17日勒克瑙的最高温度？
41°C or below 97.2%
42°C 2.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$37,451 交易量
$37,451 交易量
2026-05-17
41°C or below
97%
42°C
2%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 97.2%
42°C 2.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$37,451 交易量
$37,451 交易量
2026-05-17
41°C or below
$4,777 交易量
97%
42°C
$2,454 交易量
2%
43°C
$3,614 交易量
<1%
44°C
$5,187 交易量
<1%
45°C
$3,118 交易量
<1%
46°C
$2,551 交易量
<1%
47°C
$6,396 交易量
<1%
48°C
$6,405 交易量
<1%
49°C
$862 交易量
<1%
50°C
$908 交易量
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department, or IMD, show Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 17 holding near or below 41°C amid typical pre-monsoon clear skies and moderate westerly flow across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, supported by the latest model consensus and local observational trends, underpins the market’s 97.5% implied probability for the 41°C-or-below bracket. Historical May averages of 39–42°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture appear to suppress further intensification. A sudden shift in upper-level winds or clearer skies could allow temperatures to reach 42°C, though such revisions would require notable changes in the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$37,451结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department, or IMD, show Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 17 holding near or below 41°C amid typical pre-monsoon clear skies and moderate westerly flow across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, supported by the latest model consensus and local observational trends, underpins the market’s 97.5% implied probability for the 41°C-or-below bracket. Historical May averages of 39–42°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture appear to suppress further intensification. A sudden shift in upper-level winds or clearer skies could allow temperatures to reach 42°C, though such revisions would require notable changes in the next IMD update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$37,451结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department, or IMD, show Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 17 holding near or below 41°C amid typical pre-monsoon clear skies and moderate westerly flow across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, supported by the latest model consensus and local observational trends, underpins the market’s 97.5% implied probability for the 41°C-or-below bracket. Historical May averages of 39–42°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture appear to suppress further intensification. A sudden shift in upper-level winds or clearer skies could allow temperatures to reach 42°C, though such revisions would require notable changes in the next IMD update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题