**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and above-average rainfall are the dominant factors keeping daytime highs in Lucknow suppressed around 30–31°C for September 4.** As of September 2, official Indian Meteorological Department observations and multiple forecast models (including WeatherBug, The Weather Network, and others) show recent maxima near 30–30.7°C—markedly below normal—following heavy rain on September 1–2 that produced 35–59 mm locally and widespread flooding. Forecasts for September 4 consistently indicate overcast to mostly cloudy skies with an 80–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms, easterly winds around 10–20 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%), all of which limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with the post-peak monsoon transition in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where active systems and moisture typically cap temperatures several degrees below the seasonal average of ~32–34°C. Model consensus and recent trends strongly support the market’s leading 31°C outcome (49.5% implied probability), with 30°C and 32°C as plausible alternatives depending on exact timing and intensity of convection. Updated short-range guidance and IMD bulletins remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月4日勒克瑙的最高温度？
31°C 49%
32°C 22%
30℃ 20%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30℃
20%
31°C
49%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
2%
31°C 49%
32°C 22%
30℃ 20%
33°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
25°C或以下
$91 交易量
<1%
26°C
$106 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
3%
28°C
$83 交易量
2%
29°C
$188 交易量
5%
30℃
$213 交易量
20%
31°C
$98 交易量
49%
32°C
$277 交易量
22%
33°C
$28 交易量
6%
34°C
$26 交易量
2%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and above-average rainfall are the dominant factors keeping daytime highs in Lucknow suppressed around 30–31°C for September 4.**
As of September 2, official Indian Meteorological Department observations and multiple forecast models (including WeatherBug, The Weather Network, and others) show recent maxima near 30–30.7°C—markedly below normal—following heavy rain on September 1–2 that produced 35–59 mm locally and widespread flooding. Forecasts for September 4 consistently indicate overcast to mostly cloudy skies with an 80–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms, easterly winds around 10–20 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%), all of which limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling.
This aligns with the post-peak monsoon transition in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where active systems and moisture typically cap temperatures several degrees below the seasonal average of ~32–34°C. Model consensus and recent trends strongly support the market’s leading 31°C outcome (49.5% implied probability), with 30°C and 32°C as plausible alternatives depending on exact timing and intensity of convection. Updated short-range guidance and IMD bulletins remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,110结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and above-average rainfall are the dominant factors keeping daytime highs in Lucknow suppressed around 30–31°C for September 4.**
As of September 2, official Indian Meteorological Department observations and multiple forecast models (including WeatherBug, The Weather Network, and others) show recent maxima near 30–30.7°C—markedly below normal—following heavy rain on September 1–2 that produced 35–59 mm locally and widespread flooding. Forecasts for September 4 consistently indicate overcast to mostly cloudy skies with an 80–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms, easterly winds around 10–20 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%), all of which limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling.
This aligns with the post-peak monsoon transition in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where active systems and moisture typically cap temperatures several degrees below the seasonal average of ~32–34°C. Model consensus and recent trends strongly support the market’s leading 31°C outcome (49.5% implied probability), with 30°C and 32°C as plausible alternatives depending on exact timing and intensity of convection. Updated short-range guidance and IMD bulletins remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,110结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and above-average rainfall are the dominant factors keeping daytime highs in Lucknow suppressed around 30–31°C for September 4.** As of September 2, official Indian Meteorological Department observations and multiple forecast models (including WeatherBug, The Weather Network, and others) show recent maxima near 30–30.7°C—markedly below normal—following heavy rain on September 1–2 that produced 35–59 mm locally and widespread flooding. Forecasts for September 4 consistently indicate overcast to mostly cloudy skies with an 80–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms, easterly winds around 10–20 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%), all of which limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with the post-peak monsoon transition in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where active systems and moisture typically cap temperatures several degrees below the seasonal average of ~32–34°C. Model consensus and recent trends strongly support the market’s leading 31°C outcome (49.5% implied probability), with 30°C and 32°C as plausible alternatives depending on exact timing and intensity of convection. Updated short-range guidance and IMD bulletins remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题