Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,051 交易量
$30,051 交易量
2026-05-16
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,051 交易量
$30,051 交易量
2026-05-16
14°C or below
$1,650 交易量
No
15°C
$1,730 交易量
No
16°C
$1,134 交易量
No
17°C
$1,515 交易量
No
18°C
$1,397 交易量
No
19°C
$1,790 交易量
No
20°C
$1,668 交易量
No
21°C
$9,095 交易量
No
22°C
$1,213 交易量
No
23°C
$2,659 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$6,200 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$30,051结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,051结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题