The latest regional forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued May 14, projects a maximum temperature of 25-27°C for Mexico City on May 17 amid intervals of showers and possible strong rains (25-50 mm), anchoring trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This aligns with recent observed highs of 26-29°C on May 14-15, following early-May peaks near 30-33°C during a heatwave, and matches AccuWeather's 28°C outlook amid transitioning rainy season patterns at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Seasonal climatology supports averages around 26°C, with model consensus favoring persistence of warm conditions. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-expected precipitation suppressing daytime heating or unforecast cool air influx, though current guidance deems these low-likelihood; watch SMN's May 15 update for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城5月17日的最高温度？
墨西哥城5月17日的最高温度？
26°C or higher 93.3%
25°C 3.7%
24°C 2.0%
23°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
93%
26°C or higher 93.3%
25°C 3.7%
24°C 2.0%
23°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
16°C or below
$611 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,303 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,368 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,508 交易量
<1%
20°C
$509 交易量
<1%
21°C
$651 交易量
<1%
22°C
$321 交易量
<1%
23°C
$229 交易量
1%
24°C
$412 交易量
2%
25°C
$534 交易量
4%
26°C or higher
$424 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest regional forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued May 14, projects a maximum temperature of 25-27°C for Mexico City on May 17 amid intervals of showers and possible strong rains (25-50 mm), anchoring trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This aligns with recent observed highs of 26-29°C on May 14-15, following early-May peaks near 30-33°C during a heatwave, and matches AccuWeather's 28°C outlook amid transitioning rainy season patterns at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Seasonal climatology supports averages around 26°C, with model consensus favoring persistence of warm conditions. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-expected precipitation suppressing daytime heating or unforecast cool air influx, though current guidance deems these low-likelihood; watch SMN's May 15 update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$8,869结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest regional forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued May 14, projects a maximum temperature of 25-27°C for Mexico City on May 17 amid intervals of showers and possible strong rains (25-50 mm), anchoring trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This aligns with recent observed highs of 26-29°C on May 14-15, following early-May peaks near 30-33°C during a heatwave, and matches AccuWeather's 28°C outlook amid transitioning rainy season patterns at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Seasonal climatology supports averages around 26°C, with model consensus favoring persistence of warm conditions. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-expected precipitation suppressing daytime heating or unforecast cool air influx, though current guidance deems these low-likelihood; watch SMN's May 15 update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,869结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThe latest regional forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued May 14, projects a maximum temperature of 25-27°C for Mexico City on May 17 amid intervals of showers and possible strong rains (25-50 mm), anchoring trader consensus at 95% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This aligns with recent observed highs of 26-29°C on May 14-15, following early-May peaks near 30-33°C during a heatwave, and matches AccuWeather's 28°C outlook amid transitioning rainy season patterns at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Seasonal climatology supports averages around 26°C, with model consensus favoring persistence of warm conditions. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-expected precipitation suppressing daytime heating or unforecast cool air influx, though current guidance deems these low-likelihood; watch SMN's May 15 update for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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