The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a high temperature of 27-29°C in Mexico City today, May 15, under a stable high-pressure system fostering warm, mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover in the morning—driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with May climatological norms at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where dry-season highs average 25°C per historical SMN and NOAA data, and recent model runs from AccuWeather corroborate peaks near 30°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon cloudiness from isolated showers (0.1-5 mm risk) or urban heat island suppression, though current observations show steady morning warming toward peak heating around 3-5 PM local time; SMN station data will finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
$18,812 交易量
$18,812 交易量
2026-05-15
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
100%
$18,812 交易量
$18,812 交易量
2026-05-15
18°C
$2,473 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$3,760 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a high temperature of 27-29°C in Mexico City today, May 15, under a stable high-pressure system fostering warm, mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover in the morning—driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with May climatological norms at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where dry-season highs average 25°C per historical SMN and NOAA data, and recent model runs from AccuWeather corroborate peaks near 30°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon cloudiness from isolated showers (0.1-5 mm risk) or urban heat island suppression, though current observations show steady morning warming toward peak heating around 3-5 PM local time; SMN station data will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$18,812结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a high temperature of 27-29°C in Mexico City today, May 15, under a stable high-pressure system fostering warm, mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover in the morning—driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with May climatological norms at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where dry-season highs average 25°C per historical SMN and NOAA data, and recent model runs from AccuWeather corroborate peaks near 30°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon cloudiness from isolated showers (0.1-5 mm risk) or urban heat island suppression, though current observations show steady morning warming toward peak heating around 3-5 PM local time; SMN station data will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,812结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETThe latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a high temperature of 27-29°C in Mexico City today, May 15, under a stable high-pressure system fostering warm, mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover in the morning—driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for 19°C or higher. This aligns with May climatological norms at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where dry-season highs average 25°C per historical SMN and NOAA data, and recent model runs from AccuWeather corroborate peaks near 30°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon cloudiness from isolated showers (0.1-5 mm risk) or urban heat island suppression, though current observations show steady morning warming toward peak heating around 3-5 PM local time; SMN station data will finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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