Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日迈阿密气温最高？
8月16日迈阿密气温最高？
94-95°F 52%
92-93°F 49%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
52%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 52%
92-93°F 49%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
85°F or below
$111 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$329 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$430 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$761 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$2,968 交易量
49%
94-95°F
$1,624 交易量
52%
96-97°F
$395 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$300 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$259 交易量
<1%
102-103°F
$206 交易量
<1%
104°F or higher
$143 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$7,527结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,527结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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