Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日米兰的最高温度？
8月15日米兰的最高温度？
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$45,514 交易量
$45,514 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$45,514 交易量
$45,514 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
$215 交易量
No
31°C
$332 交易量
No
32°C
$1,729 交易量
No
33°C
$12,472 交易量
No
34°C
$11,068 交易量
Yes
35°C
$8,754 交易量
No
36°C
$6,161 交易量
No
37°C
$2,663 交易量
No
38°C
$1,399 交易量
No
39°C
$578 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$143 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$45,514结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,514结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题