Ensemble forecasts from major models show Milan’s August 15 high temperature most likely reaching 34–35 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow, with limited cloud cover and urban heat-island effects boosting daytime maxima. Recent runs exhibit a narrow spread centered near these values, reflecting typical late-summer variability and the influence of soil moisture and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price 34 °C and 35 °C nearly equally because small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the official reading either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the current synoptic setup and climatological precedent for early-August heat in the Po Valley.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日米兰的最高温度？
8月15日米兰的最高温度？
34°C 39%
35°C 35%
33°C 14%
36°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
14%
34°C
39%
35°C
35%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 35%
33°C 14%
36°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C or below
$215 交易量
<1%
31°C
$103 交易量
1%
32°C
$265 交易量
4%
33°C
$411 交易量
14%
34°C
$418 交易量
39%
35°C
$841 交易量
35%
36°C
$866 交易量
11%
37°C
$220 交易量
2%
38°C
$296 交易量
1%
39°C
$216 交易量
1%
40°C or higher
$120 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major models show Milan’s August 15 high temperature most likely reaching 34–35 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow, with limited cloud cover and urban heat-island effects boosting daytime maxima. Recent runs exhibit a narrow spread centered near these values, reflecting typical late-summer variability and the influence of soil moisture and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price 34 °C and 35 °C nearly equally because small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the official reading either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the current synoptic setup and climatological precedent for early-August heat in the Po Valley.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,970结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major models show Milan’s August 15 high temperature most likely reaching 34–35 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow, with limited cloud cover and urban heat-island effects boosting daytime maxima. Recent runs exhibit a narrow spread centered near these values, reflecting typical late-summer variability and the influence of soil moisture and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price 34 °C and 35 °C nearly equally because small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the official reading either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the current synoptic setup and climatological precedent for early-August heat in the Po Valley.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,970结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from major models show Milan’s August 15 high temperature most likely reaching 34–35 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow, with limited cloud cover and urban heat-island effects boosting daytime maxima. Recent runs exhibit a narrow spread centered near these values, reflecting typical late-summer variability and the influence of soil moisture and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price 34 °C and 35 °C nearly equally because small shifts in wind speed or afternoon convection could tip the official reading either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the current synoptic setup and climatological precedent for early-August heat in the Po Valley.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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