Recent forecast updates from European weather models and Météo-France show Paris under a stable cool air mass with mostly cloudy skies and limited sunshine, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the mid-teens Celsius. Afternoon readings are projected to peak near 16°C, consistent with the market’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical climatology for mid-May places average highs around 18°C, yet persistent instability earlier this week has suppressed temperatures. Key variables that could still shift the result include unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger insolation, which might push the high to 17°C, though current model consensus and observational trends make this unlikely before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日巴黎气温最高？
5月17日巴黎气温最高？
16°C 95.4%
17°C 5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$110,834 交易量
$110,834 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
95%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 95.4%
17°C 5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$110,834 交易量
$110,834 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
$1,110 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,434 交易量
<1%
12°C
$2,788 交易量
<1%
13°C
$7,621 交易量
<1%
14°C
$16,118 交易量
<1%
15°C
$15,245 交易量
<1%
16°C
$17,963 交易量
95%
17°C
$16,810 交易量
5%
18°C
$14,783 交易量
1%
19°C
$13,599 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$5,165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European weather models and Météo-France show Paris under a stable cool air mass with mostly cloudy skies and limited sunshine, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the mid-teens Celsius. Afternoon readings are projected to peak near 16°C, consistent with the market’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical climatology for mid-May places average highs around 18°C, yet persistent instability earlier this week has suppressed temperatures. Key variables that could still shift the result include unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger insolation, which might push the high to 17°C, though current model consensus and observational trends make this unlikely before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$110,834结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European weather models and Météo-France show Paris under a stable cool air mass with mostly cloudy skies and limited sunshine, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the mid-teens Celsius. Afternoon readings are projected to peak near 16°C, consistent with the market’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical climatology for mid-May places average highs around 18°C, yet persistent instability earlier this week has suppressed temperatures. Key variables that could still shift the result include unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger insolation, which might push the high to 17°C, though current model consensus and observational trends make this unlikely before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$110,834结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast updates from European weather models and Météo-France show Paris under a stable cool air mass with mostly cloudy skies and limited sunshine, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the mid-teens Celsius. Afternoon readings are projected to peak near 16°C, consistent with the market’s dominant 93.5% implied probability for that outcome. Historical climatology for mid-May places average highs around 18°C, yet persistent instability earlier this week has suppressed temperatures. Key variables that could still shift the result include unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger insolation, which might push the high to 17°C, though current model consensus and observational trends make this unlikely before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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