Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Paris on May 19 most likely between 16°C and 18°C, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air under a weak high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup contrasts with stronger southerly advection that could push readings toward 19–20°C if the ridge shifts eastward. At two days out, model spread remains modest but centers near seasonal normals of 18°C, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics evenly, as the close pricing between 17°C and 18°C reflects the narrow range typical of late-spring variability in the Paris Basin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日巴黎气温最高？
5月19日巴黎气温最高？
17°C 34%
18°C 24%
16°C 21%
19°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
21%
17°C
34%
18°C
24%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 34%
18°C 24%
16°C 21%
19°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
12°C or below
$15 交易量
1%
13°C
$15 交易量
1%
14°C
$424 交易量
2%
15°C
$2 交易量
5%
16°C
$36 交易量
21%
17°C
$35 交易量
34%
18°C
$10 交易量
24%
19°C
$2 交易量
11%
20°C
$24 交易量
5%
21°C
$43 交易量
1%
22°C or higher
$6 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Paris on May 19 most likely between 16°C and 18°C, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air under a weak high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup contrasts with stronger southerly advection that could push readings toward 19–20°C if the ridge shifts eastward. At two days out, model spread remains modest but centers near seasonal normals of 18°C, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics evenly, as the close pricing between 17°C and 18°C reflects the narrow range typical of late-spring variability in the Paris Basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$611结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Paris on May 19 most likely between 16°C and 18°C, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air under a weak high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup contrasts with stronger southerly advection that could push readings toward 19–20°C if the ridge shifts eastward. At two days out, model spread remains modest but centers near seasonal normals of 18°C, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics evenly, as the close pricing between 17°C and 18°C reflects the narrow range typical of late-spring variability in the Paris Basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$611结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Paris on May 19 most likely between 16°C and 18°C, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air under a weak high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup contrasts with stronger southerly advection that could push readings toward 19–20°C if the ridge shifts eastward. At two days out, model spread remains modest but centers near seasonal normals of 18°C, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics evenly, as the close pricing between 17°C and 18°C reflects the narrow range typical of late-spring variability in the Paris Basin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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