Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show mostly cloudy skies and light winds across Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum temperature near 16°C. This atmospheric setup, with reduced insolation and minimal warm-air advection, has positioned the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions under a weak pressure gradient reinforce this consensus, though any unexpected afternoon clearing could allow modest warming toward 17°C. Official readings from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market, with updated model runs continuing to guide trader assessments of these tight temperature brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日巴黎气温最高？
5月17日巴黎气温最高？
16°C 59%
15°C 31%
17°C 8%
14°C 2.7%
$65,605 交易量
$65,605 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
31%
16°C
59%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
15°C 31%
17°C 8%
14°C 2.7%
$65,605 交易量
$65,605 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
$1,110 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,434 交易量
<1%
12°C
$2,788 交易量
<1%
13°C
$5,921 交易量
1%
14°C
$8,369 交易量
3%
15°C
$7,712 交易量
31%
16°C
$8,977 交易量
59%
17°C
$7,943 交易量
8%
18°C
$7,508 交易量
1%
19°C
$10,913 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$3,838 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show mostly cloudy skies and light winds across Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum temperature near 16°C. This atmospheric setup, with reduced insolation and minimal warm-air advection, has positioned the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions under a weak pressure gradient reinforce this consensus, though any unexpected afternoon clearing could allow modest warming toward 17°C. Official readings from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market, with updated model runs continuing to guide trader assessments of these tight temperature brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$65,605结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show mostly cloudy skies and light winds across Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum temperature near 16°C. This atmospheric setup, with reduced insolation and minimal warm-air advection, has positioned the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions under a weak pressure gradient reinforce this consensus, though any unexpected afternoon clearing could allow modest warming toward 17°C. Official readings from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market, with updated model runs continuing to guide trader assessments of these tight temperature brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$65,605结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show mostly cloudy skies and light winds across Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and anchoring the daily maximum temperature near 16°C. This atmospheric setup, with reduced insolation and minimal warm-air advection, has positioned the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Cooler-than-average May conditions under a weak pressure gradient reinforce this consensus, though any unexpected afternoon clearing could allow modest warming toward 17°C. Official readings from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market, with updated model runs continuing to guide trader assessments of these tight temperature brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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