Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,588 交易量
$44,588 交易量
2026-05-16
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,588 交易量
$44,588 交易量
2026-05-16
20°C or below
$4,884 交易量
No
21°C
$22,769 交易量
Yes
22°C
$3,590 交易量
No
23°C
$2,786 交易量
No
24°C
$1,603 交易量
No
25°C
$2,070 交易量
No
26°C
$2,010 交易量
No
27°C
$1,081 交易量
No
28°C
$1,000 交易量
No
29°C
$1,469 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$1,325 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$44,588结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$44,588结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题