Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 16 peak temperature at 26°C beneath a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds limiting advection of warmer air and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating daytime heating. This synoptic pattern aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 25–26°C, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. Final resolution hinges on the official reading at Shanghai Pudong International Airport; any unexpected clearing of residual cloud cover or a late wind shift could briefly allow 27°C, though model guidance shows minimal spread around the 26°C solution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$171,825 交易量
$171,825 交易量
2026-05-16
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$171,825 交易量
$171,825 交易量
2026-05-16
21°C or below
$10,663 交易量
No
22°C
$7,320 交易量
No
23°C
$10,817 交易量
No
24°C
$10,734 交易量
No
25°C
$43,151 交易量
No
26°C
$20,638 交易量
Yes
27°C
$18,334 交易量
No
28°C
$26,142 交易量
No
29°C
$12,157 交易量
No
30°C
$6,793 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$5,076 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 16 peak temperature at 26°C beneath a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds limiting advection of warmer air and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating daytime heating. This synoptic pattern aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 25–26°C, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. Final resolution hinges on the official reading at Shanghai Pudong International Airport; any unexpected clearing of residual cloud cover or a late wind shift could briefly allow 27°C, though model guidance shows minimal spread around the 26°C solution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$171,825结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 16 peak temperature at 26°C beneath a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds limiting advection of warmer air and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating daytime heating. This synoptic pattern aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 25–26°C, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. Final resolution hinges on the official reading at Shanghai Pudong International Airport; any unexpected clearing of residual cloud cover or a late wind shift could briefly allow 27°C, though model guidance shows minimal spread around the 26°C solution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$171,825结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 16 peak temperature at 26°C beneath a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds limiting advection of warmer air and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating daytime heating. This synoptic pattern aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 25–26°C, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. Final resolution hinges on the official reading at Shanghai Pudong International Airport; any unexpected clearing of residual cloud cover or a late wind shift could briefly allow 27°C, though model guidance shows minimal spread around the 26°C solution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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