Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in Shanghai, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological normals of 24–26°C while supporting above-average readings under mostly clear skies and minimal cloud cover. The market’s 99.9% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport serving as the resolution source. Minor shifts in wind speed or boundary-layer moisture over the next few hours remain the primary variables that could nudge the peak by one degree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日上海气温最高?
27°C 99.9%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$135,965 交易量
$135,965 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 99.9%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$135,965 交易量
$135,965 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in Shanghai, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological normals of 24–26°C while supporting above-average readings under mostly clear skies and minimal cloud cover. The market’s 99.9% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport serving as the resolution source. Minor shifts in wind speed or boundary-layer moisture over the next few hours remain the primary variables that could nudge the peak by one degree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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