Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature near 28°C on May 17 at the Otemachi reference station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and clear-sky insolation under moderate humidity. This setup aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May in the Kanto region, where afternoon heating typically peaks in the upper 20s when nocturnal cooling is limited by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope across operational models, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observation. Deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift reduces peak heating by even 1–2°C before official closeout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日东京气温最高？
5月17日东京气温最高？
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 交易量
$88,867 交易量
2026-05-17
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 交易量
$88,867 交易量
2026-05-17
20°C or below
$3,024 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,893 交易量
<1%
22°C
$819 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,290 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,445 交易量
<1%
25°C
$7,219 交易量
<1%
26°C
$10,417 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10,583 交易量
<1%
28°C
$19,728 交易量
100%
29°C
$11,061 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$10,387 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature near 28°C on May 17 at the Otemachi reference station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and clear-sky insolation under moderate humidity. This setup aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May in the Kanto region, where afternoon heating typically peaks in the upper 20s when nocturnal cooling is limited by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope across operational models, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observation. Deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift reduces peak heating by even 1–2°C before official closeout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$88,867结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature near 28°C on May 17 at the Otemachi reference station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and clear-sky insolation under moderate humidity. This setup aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May in the Kanto region, where afternoon heating typically peaks in the upper 20s when nocturnal cooling is limited by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope across operational models, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observation. Deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift reduces peak heating by even 1–2°C before official closeout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$88,867结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature near 28°C on May 17 at the Otemachi reference station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and clear-sky insolation under moderate humidity. This setup aligns with climatological expectations for mid-May in the Kanto region, where afternoon heating typically peaks in the upper 20s when nocturnal cooling is limited by the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope across operational models, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observation. Deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift reduces peak heating by even 1–2°C before official closeout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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