Recent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a pronounced warm-air advection pattern over eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for a daily maximum near or above 27°C on May 19. This late-spring setup aligns with seasonal warming trends, where typical mid-May highs at the Otemachi station average 23–25°C but rise steadily as subtropical air masses strengthen. Current ensemble guidance shows minimal disagreement on intensification potential, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings in the upper 20s Celsius. Historical analogs from similar synoptic conditions confirm that 27°C thresholds are reached roughly 60–70% of the time in the final week of May, while cooler outcomes below 25°C remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are monitoring the next JMA model runs for any adjustments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日东京气温最高？
5月19日东京气温最高？
27°C或以上 77%
26°C 11%
25°C 8%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
17℃或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
8%
26°C
11%
27°C或以上
77%
27°C或以上 77%
26°C 11%
25°C 8%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
17℃或以下
$416 交易量
<1%
18°C
$416 交易量
1%
19°C
$679 交易量
<1%
20°C
$220 交易量
<1%
21°C
$345 交易量
<1%
22°C
$228 交易量
<1%
23°C
$465 交易量
1%
24°C
$427 交易量
7%
25°C
$125 交易量
8%
26°C
$271 交易量
11%
27°C或以上
$296 交易量
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a pronounced warm-air advection pattern over eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for a daily maximum near or above 27°C on May 19. This late-spring setup aligns with seasonal warming trends, where typical mid-May highs at the Otemachi station average 23–25°C but rise steadily as subtropical air masses strengthen. Current ensemble guidance shows minimal disagreement on intensification potential, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings in the upper 20s Celsius. Historical analogs from similar synoptic conditions confirm that 27°C thresholds are reached roughly 60–70% of the time in the final week of May, while cooler outcomes below 25°C remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are monitoring the next JMA model runs for any adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,741结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a pronounced warm-air advection pattern over eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for a daily maximum near or above 27°C on May 19. This late-spring setup aligns with seasonal warming trends, where typical mid-May highs at the Otemachi station average 23–25°C but rise steadily as subtropical air masses strengthen. Current ensemble guidance shows minimal disagreement on intensification potential, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings in the upper 20s Celsius. Historical analogs from similar synoptic conditions confirm that 27°C thresholds are reached roughly 60–70% of the time in the final week of May, while cooler outcomes below 25°C remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are monitoring the next JMA model runs for any adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,741结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a pronounced warm-air advection pattern over eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for a daily maximum near or above 27°C on May 19. This late-spring setup aligns with seasonal warming trends, where typical mid-May highs at the Otemachi station average 23–25°C but rise steadily as subtropical air masses strengthen. Current ensemble guidance shows minimal disagreement on intensification potential, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings in the upper 20s Celsius. Historical analogs from similar synoptic conditions confirm that 27°C thresholds are reached roughly 60–70% of the time in the final week of May, while cooler outcomes below 25°C remain unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are monitoring the next JMA model runs for any adjustments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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